Download Agequake: Riding the Demographic Rollercoaster Shaking by Paul Wallace PDF

By Paul Wallace

This is often the first-ever, actually worldwide, indepth examine the big results of the demographic rolllercoaster and what it potential for employment, investments, new company improvement, advertising and the commercial strength map of the area.

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Additional resources for Agequake: Riding the Demographic Rollercoaster Shaking Business, Finance, and Our World

Example text

The implications of such low fertility are scary. If 30 AGEQUAKE current fertility and mortality rates are sustained, both populations will inevitably go into freefall in the absence of immigration. 28 Japan is currently experiencing the most rapid ageing in the world because of the unprecedented collapse in its fertility that occurred 40 years ago. After a brief postwar baby boom, the fertility rate halved within a decade to reach the replacement rate of just over 2 in 1957. 4 in the mid-1990s.

This requires the discipline of a more independent financial system and the injection of shareholder values into the economy. A model designed for a developing economy with a young and growing labor force must now be reshaped for a mature economy with an ageing population and declining labor force. Hence the crucial importance of Japan's `Big Bang' reforms to liberalize the financial system by 2001. Under this deregulation plan, foreign exchange controls have been abolished, barriers between different types of financial organizations are being lifted and restrictions removed on the investment of corporate pension fund money.

New arrivals undoubtedly boost the number of people of working age, but they are generally less skilled and face language difficulties. The increase in the effective workforce – which takes into account `human capital' – would therefore be much less. 45 The American National Research Council (NRC) argues that immigrants will eventually help meet the bill for the US's ageing population. During their lives, immigrants will contribute an average of $80,000 in today's money to the public purse. But this view is not shared by everyone; opponents say that these benefits are a long way off.

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